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Nigeria’s make or break presidential election, By Bámidélé Adémólá-Olátéjú

2023 will be a four-way race and could go into a run-off for the first time since 1999. You do not need an American agency to tell you which way the wind is blowing. I believe whoever gains a first ballot victory under the ‘first-past-the-post’ system, is not going to get more than 37% of the total votes cast. Those who follow politics closely, will recall that the late Governor Ajimobi was elected for the first time with just 32.6% of the votes, in a fiercely contested four-horse race.

Declining opportunities, rising insecurity and a bleak economic outlook have created an environment polluted by anger. This anger has bred a growing rank of political fundamentalists and fanatics. There is palpable anger on Nigeria social media platforms whenever politics is at issue and what is at issue these days, if not the 2023 elections? In the social media ecosystem, frustration with the political class has given rise to a dangerous mix of radical, utopian politics, where intimidation and enmity are the rules of engagement. Politics in a democracy assumes tolerance, representation and openness. However followers of Peter Obi (the Obidients) and Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (BATists) on social media have become implacable political fundamentalists or fanatics. The rabid antagonism and intimidation calls into question their understanding of rationality, expression of public passions and representation. If we must make progress politically, we must be rational, tolerant and…

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